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Titre :
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How Private Creditors Fared in Emerging Debt Markets, 1970-2000 :
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Titre de série :
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Working Paper, 13
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Auteurs :
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Christoph Klingen
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Type de document :
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document électronique
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Editeur :
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[S.l.] : International Monetary Fund, 2004
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ISBN/ISSN/EAN :
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978-1-4518-4303-3
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Résumé :
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We estimate ex post returns to emerging market debt by combining secondary-market prices with observed flows based on World Bank data. From 1970-2000, returns averaged 9 percent per annum, about the same as returns on a ten-year U.S. treasury bond. This reflects the combined effect of the 1980s debt crisis and much higher returns during 1989-2000. Annual returns since 1986 have been less volatile than emerging market equity returns but more volatile than returns on U.S. corporate or high-yield bonds. However, unlike returns on these bonds, emerging market debt returns do not seem significantly correlated with U.S. or world stock markets.
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